Will the French be able to spend “a quiet summer”? For epidemiologist Arnaud Fontanet, member of the scientific council, this would require the number of daily cases of covid to drop below the 5,000 mark on June 15.
5,000 cases and 200 hospitalizations per day
“If we managed to descend on June 15 below 5,000 cases, to 200-100 hospitalizations per day, we would really switch to a new era of the epidemic. We would be in another scheme that would allow us to spend a much quieter summer “, he said.
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The threat of variants
What if it doesn’t? “If we stay in an area of 10,000 – 15,000 cases per day, then we cannot say what will happen during the summer because an Indian-type variant arriving in French territory could make the situation difficult.“, continued the specialist.
Too early to take off the mask
As for the issue of the mask, which the government hopes to drop outside this summer, it is for Professor Fontanet “too early“to consider it, even for people who have been vaccinated because it would encourage others to do the same.
“We must reach 60% of the general population vaccinated, we will begin to enter much more comfortable areas“, he said. To date, 32% of the population has received at least one dose and 14% have received a full two-dose vaccination.
The trend is downward
On May 20, France had 15,415 new infections and 709 hospital admissions. A downward trend since the number of new cases averaged over a week fell by 19% compared to last week and that of hospitalizations by 12%, according to figures from CovidTracker.
In intensive care too, the number of patients with covid-19 fell and the services counted 3,769 covid patients on 20 May.